· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — August 14, 2026
On August 14, 2026, Bolivia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 66 · Clears: 69 · State changes: 36 · Regions tracked: 39
AI commentary
09:00 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with multiple regions and sectors experiencing increased volatility and crisis themes. The stress level is ELEVATED, with key risks including:
* Geopolitical tensions and potential conflict
* Economic instability and potential recession
* Market volatility and potential crashes
* Supply chain disruptions and potential shortages
* Cybersecurity threats and potential data breaches
Recommended actions include:
* Diversifying investment portfolios to minimize risk
* Monitoring market trends and adjusting strategies accordingly
* Maintaining a cash reserve to mitigate potential losses
* Implementing risk management strategies to protect against potential threats
* Staying informed about global events and market developments
21:01 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by a mix of normal and monitor states across various regions. The stress level is elevated, with several regions triggering crisis themes and panic surges. Key risks include:
* Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Asia
* Market volatility, with several regions experiencing elevated volatility
* Supply chain disruptions, particularly in critical materials
* Banking sector drawdowns, particularly in emerging markets
Recommended actions include:
* Closely monitoring market developments and news sentiment
* Diversifying portfolios to mitigate risks
* Maintaining a cash allocation to take advantage of potential opportunities
* Reviewing supply chain exposures and developing contingency plans
Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolivia | 13 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Russia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Ukraine | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Poland | 16 | 19 | 16/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| News Analysis | 19 | 19 | 12/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Peru | 7 | 7 | 7/31 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Egypt | 7 | 7 | 7/31 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Central Banks | 12 | 12 | 12/57 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| South Korea | 5 | 6 | 5/15 | Monitor |
| Iran | 5 | 5 | 5/18 | Monitor |
| Commodities | 14 | 14 | 14/80 | Monitor |
| Chile | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Colombia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Ecuador | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| South Africa | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Indonesia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Vietnam | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Thailand | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Philippines | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Mexico | 0 | 2 | 2/9 | Normal |
| Australia | 4 | 4 | 2/10 | Normal |
| Turkey | 2 | 2 | 2/11 | Normal |
| Brazil | 5 | 7 | 2/12 | Normal |
| Argentina | 0 | 4 | 2/12 | Normal |
| GCC/Middle East | 2 | 4 | 2/13 | Normal |
| United Kingdom | 3 | 3 | 2/18 | Normal |
| Asia | 0 | 2 | 2/18 | Normal |
| United States | 9 | 9 | 3/29 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 1 | 1 | 1/12 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| China | 2 | 2 | 0/13 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 0 | 2 | 0/18 | Normal |
| Europe | 0 | 0 | 0/19 | Normal |
| India | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 0/17 | Normal |
| Forex | 0 | 0 | 0/26 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 0 | 0 | 0/27 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 01:04United States: Monitor → Normal
- 01:20United States: Normal → Monitor
- 02:40Brazil: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 03:12Brazil: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 04:16Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 04:48Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 05:04Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 06:08Brazil: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 06:24Brazil: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 06:40Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 07:12Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 07:44Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 08:32Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 08:34Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 08:48Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 09:04Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 09:36Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 11:12Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 11:28United States: Monitor → Normal
- 12:00Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:31Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 13:52Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 16:00Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 16:17Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 16:18Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 16:21Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 16:22Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 16:23Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 16:26Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 16:57Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 17:01Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 17:02Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 17:03Egypt: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 17:05Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 18:11Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 18:25Iran: Normal → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Critical News Panic | Bolivia | 6 | 21:11 |
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 04:30 |
| News Panic Surge | Egypt | 4 | 17:03 |
| Copper Price Spike | Commodities | 3 | 02:06 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Poland | 3 | 02:14 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 08:10 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Bolivia | 3 | 09:11 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Ukraine | 3 | 12:45 |
| Australia Banks Drawdown | Australia | 2 | 01:01 |
| Brazil Market Drawdown | Brazil | 2 | 16:17 |
| Mexico Banks Drawdown | Mexico | 2 | 16:29 |
| Argentine Banks Drawdown | Argentina | 2 | 16:32 |
| Mexico Market Stable | Mexico | 0 | 15:58 |