· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — August 13, 2026
On August 13, 2026, Russia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 92 · Clears: 87 · State changes: 33 · Regions tracked: 39
AI commentary
09:00 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with several regions and sectors triggering warning signals. The stress level is ELEVATED, with key risks including:
* Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Asia
* Market volatility, with several indices experiencing significant fluctuations
* Economic instability, with concerns over inflation, interest rates, and trade policies
* Cybersecurity threats, with potential risks to financial systems and infrastructure
Recommended actions include:
* Diversifying investment portfolios to minimize risk
* Monitoring news and market developments closely
* Maintaining a cash reserve to respond to potential crises
* Implementing robust cybersecurity measures to protect against threats
21:00 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with multiple regions and sectors experiencing increased volatility and crisis themes. The Stress Level is ELEVATED, with key risks including:
* Geopolitical tensions and potential conflict
* Economic instability and market volatility
* Supply chain disruptions and commodity price shocks
* Central bank actions and monetary policy changes
Recommended actions include:
* Diversifying portfolios to minimize risk
* Monitoring news and market developments closely
* Adjusting investment strategies to account for changing market conditions
* Maintaining a long-term perspective and avoiding impulsive decisions
Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Ukraine | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Poland | 3 | 19 | 16/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| News Analysis | 16 | 19 | 19/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Bolivia | 10 | 13 | 13/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Peru | 7 | 7 | 7/31 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Egypt | 7 | 7 | 7/31 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Central Banks | 12 | 12 | 12/57 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Brazil | 5 | 5 | 5/12 | Monitor |
| South Korea | 5 | 6 | 5/15 | Monitor |
| United States | 3 | 9 | 9/32 | Monitor |
| Iran | 5 | 5 | 5/18 | Monitor |
| Commodities | 10 | 14 | 14/80 | Monitor |
| Chile | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Colombia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Ecuador | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| South Africa | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Indonesia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Vietnam | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Thailand | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Philippines | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Australia | 0 | 4 | 4/13 | Normal |
| Turkey | 2 | 4 | 2/11 | Normal |
| United Kingdom | 2 | 3 | 3/18 | Normal |
| GCC/Middle East | 4 | 4 | 2/13 | Normal |
| China | 0 | 2 | 2/16 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 1 | 1 | 1/12 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| Argentina | 4 | 6 | 0/12 | Normal |
| Asia | 0 | 2 | 0/16 | Normal |
| Europe | 0 | 0 | 0/19 | Normal |
| India | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 0 | 0 | 0/18 | Normal |
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 0/17 | Normal |
| Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0/9 | Normal |
| Forex | 0 | 0 | 0/26 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 0 | 0 | 0/27 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 02:56Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 03:12Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 03:44Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 04:00Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 09:04Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 09:52Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 10:08Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 10:24Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 10:56Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 11:12Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:31Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 13:40Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:46Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 13:47Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 13:48Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 15:01Poland: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 15:12Poland: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 15:28Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 15:34Poland: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 15:47Poland: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 18:14Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 18:16Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 18:37Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 18:38Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 18:40Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 18:54Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 19:05Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 19:17Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 20:16United States: Normal → Monitor
- 21:52Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 22:08United States: Monitor → Normal
- 22:24United States: Normal → Monitor
- 22:40Iran: Normal → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Critical News Panic | Poland | 6 | 20:31 |
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 01:10 |
| Wheat Price Crisis | Commodities | 4 | 05:31 |
| News Panic Surge | Poland | 4 | 15:01 |
| T-Bill Flight to Safety | United States | 4 | 20:00 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Bolivia | 3 | 01:33 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 03:57 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Poland | 3 | 15:12 |
| Sustained Crisis Coverage | Poland | 3 | 15:47 |
| Australia Banks Drawdown | Australia | 2 | 00:20 |
| Gold Panic Bid | Commodities | 2 | 00:44 |
| Argentine FX Stress | Argentina | 2 | 13:32 |
| Oil shock | GCC/Middle East | 2 | 13:40 |
| Oil shock | Iran | 2 | 13:40 |
| Brazil Market Drawdown | Brazil | 2 | 13:47 |
| High Oil Volatility | Commodities | 2 | 13:56 |
| Argentine Banks Drawdown | Argentina | 2 | 14:55 |
| China Market Stable | China | 0 | 15:40 |