· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — August 11, 2026
On August 11, 2026, Russia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 53 · Clears: 52 · State changes: 21 · Regions tracked: 39
AI commentary
09:01 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by a mix of normal and elevated states across various regions. The stress level is ELEVATED due to the presence of multiple crisis themes and elevated volatility in certain regions. Key risks include:
* Geopolitical tensions and crisis themes in regions such as IR, KR, and UK
* Elevated volatility in commodities and supply chain disruptions
* Potential for coordinated central bank easing and its impact on markets
Recommended actions:
* Monitor news sentiment and crisis themes in high-risk regions
* Diversify portfolios to mitigate potential losses from geopolitical tensions
* Keep a close eye on central bank actions and their impact on markets
21:00 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with multiple regions and sectors exhibiting warning signs. The stress level is ELEVATED, with key risks including:
* Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Asia
* Market volatility, with several regions experiencing significant fluctuations
* Crisis themes, such as war, sanctions, and military action, dominating news sentiment
Recommended actions include:
* Diversifying portfolios to mitigate risk
* Monitoring news and market developments closely
* Considering hedging strategies to protect against potential losses
Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Ukraine | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Bolivia | 16 | 19 | 16/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| News Analysis | 12 | 19 | 19/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| South Korea | 5 | 8 | 8/17 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Peru | 7 | 7 | 7/31 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Central Banks | 12 | 12 | 12/57 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Brazil | 2 | 7 | 5/12 | Monitor |
| Iran | 6 | 7 | 5/18 | Monitor |
| United Kingdom | 2 | 5 | 5/20 | Monitor |
| Commodities | 10 | 10 | 10/80 | Monitor |
| Egypt | 3 | 7 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Chile | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Colombia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Ecuador | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| South Africa | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Indonesia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Vietnam | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Thailand | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Philippines | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Poland | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Argentina | 6 | 6 | 4/12 | Normal |
| Turkey | 2 | 2 | 2/11 | Normal |
| GCC/Middle East | 3 | 3 | 2/13 | Normal |
| United States | 3 | 5 | 3/29 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 1 | 1 | 1/12 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| Europe | 4 | 4 | 0/19 | Normal |
| Asia | 0 | 2 | 0/16 | Normal |
| China | 0 | 0 | 0/13 | Normal |
| India | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Australia | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 0 | 0 | 0/18 | Normal |
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 0/17 | Normal |
| Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0/9 | Normal |
| Forex | 0 | 0 | 0/26 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 0 | 0 | 0/27 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 01:47Egypt: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 09:53United Kingdom: Normal → Monitor
- 09:53South Korea: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 13:32Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
- 13:33Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:34Commodities: Monitor → Normal
- 13:35Commodities: Normal → Monitor
- 15:30Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 16:10Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 16:19Commodities: Monitor → Normal
- 16:20Commodities: Normal → Monitor
- 16:23Commodities: Monitor → Normal
- 16:25Commodities: Normal → Monitor
- 18:45Brazil: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 18:49Brazil: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 18:50Brazil: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 18:51Brazil: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 19:15Brazil: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 20:59Egypt: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 21:06Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 22:07Brazil: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| News Panic Surge | Egypt | 4 | 01:47 |
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 09:34 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Bolivia | 3 | 04:02 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 07:29 |
| Oil shock | GCC/Middle East | 2 | 13:33 |
| Oil shock | Iran | 2 | 13:33 |
| High Oil Volatility | Commodities | 2 | 13:35 |
| Brazil Banks Drawdown | Brazil | 2 | 14:15 |
| Argentine Banks Drawdown | Argentina | 2 | 14:23 |
| Brazil Market Drawdown | Brazil | 2 | 15:30 |
| Brazil Market Stable | Brazil | 0 | 13:34 |
| South Korea Market Stable | South Korea | 0 | 17:18 |