· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — August 10, 2026
On August 10, 2026, Russia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 30 · Clears: 31 · State changes: 20 · Regions tracked: 39
AI commentary
09:00 UTC update
The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with several regions and sectors triggering warning signals. The stress level is ELEVATED, with key risks including:
* Oil price volatility and potential supply chain disruptions
* Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Eastern Europe
* Rising volatility in financial markets, particularly in Asia
* Potential for coordinated central bank easing in response to economic slowdown
Recommended actions include:
* Closely monitoring oil prices and potential supply chain disruptions
* Diversifying investments to mitigate risks associated with geopolitical tensions
* Maintaining a cautious approach to investments in volatile markets
* Preparing for potential central bank actions and their impact on financial markets
21:00 UTC update
The current market status is relatively stable, with most regions indicating a "NORMAL" state. However, some regions such as IR, KR, and RU are showing signs of increased stress, with IR and KR in "PHASE_1" and RU in "PHASE_2". The overall stress level is ELEVATED, with key risks including:
* Geopolitical tensions and crisis themes in various regions
* Volatility and drawdowns in specific sectors and markets
* Potential for coordinated easing or tightening by central banks
Recommended actions include:
* Closely monitoring news and market sentiment
* Diversifying portfolios to mitigate risks
* Considering hedging strategies to protect against potential losses
Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Ukraine | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Bolivia | 16 | 19 | 16/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| News Analysis | 12 | 16 | 12/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Iran | 5 | 7 | 6/18 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Peru | 7 | 7 | 7/31 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Central Banks | 12 | 12 | 12/57 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| South Korea | 8 | 9 | 5/15 | Monitor |
| Commodities | 10 | 10 | 10/80 | Monitor |
| Ecuador | 3 | 7 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Vietnam | 7 | 7 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Chile | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Colombia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| South Africa | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Egypt | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Indonesia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Thailand | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Philippines | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Poland | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Argentina | 2 | 8 | 6/12 | Normal |
| GCC/Middle East | 3 | 5 | 3/13 | Normal |
| Europe | 4 | 4 | 4/19 | Normal |
| Turkey | 2 | 2 | 2/11 | Normal |
| Brazil | 2 | 2 | 2/12 | Normal |
| United Kingdom | 2 | 3 | 2/18 | Normal |
| United States | 5 | 5 | 3/29 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 1 | 3 | 1/12 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| Asia | 2 | 2 | 0/16 | Normal |
| China | 2 | 2 | 0/13 | Normal |
| India | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Australia | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 0 | 0 | 0/18 | Normal |
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 0/17 | Normal |
| Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0/9 | Normal |
| Forex | 0 | 0 | 0/26 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 0 | 0 | 0/27 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 00:20South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 00:26Ecuador: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 04:01GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
- 04:49GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
- 08:33GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
- 09:05GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
- 10:55Ecuador: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 11:45Vietnam: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 13:33Commodities: Monitor → Normal
- 13:34Commodities: Normal → Monitor
- 13:38Commodities: Monitor → Normal
- 13:39Commodities: Normal → Monitor
- 14:09Commodities: Monitor → Normal
- 14:10Commodities: Normal → Monitor
- 15:00South Korea: Monitor → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 15:28Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 16:41Argentina: Normal → Monitor
- 16:48Argentina: Monitor → Normal
- 16:48South Korea: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 21:22South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| News Panic Surge | Ecuador | 4 | 00:26 |
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 13:30 |
| EU Money Market Flight to Safety | Europe | 4 | 22:00 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Bolivia | 3 | 06:02 |
| Tech drawdown | South Korea | 3 | 15:00 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 15:08 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Ukraine | 3 | 15:14 |
| China Banks Drawdown | China | 2 | 01:30 |
| Argentine FX Stress | Argentina | 2 | 13:31 |
| High Oil Volatility | Commodities | 2 | 13:34 |
| Argentina Volatility Elevated | Argentina | 1 | 16:41 |
| Vol elevated | Iran | 1 | 18:06 |
| Brazil Market Stable | Brazil | 0 | 13:37 |