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GCC / Middle East

取得中...
たった今
NORMAL
危機スコア2.0/15.0
KSA Vol
12.1
シグナル
2/7
フェイルセーフ
正常
無効化要因
0/0
アクション
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What's Happening

1 signalfiring · 2.0/15.0 pts
3 points away from escalating to MONITOR. Key driver: GCC_intel_civil_unrest in Other.
Other2pts
+2
GCC_intel_civil_unrest2.00

シンボル

Saudi ETF↓
KSA
$36.09
2d
-2.2%
5d
-0.0%
1m
-5.6%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
2.0
Saudi Banks↓
1120.SR
$62.30
2d
+0.2%
5d
-0.2%
1m
-5.2%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.6
Oil↑
USO
$147.65
2d
+1.9%
5d
-1.6%
1m
-6.8%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.8
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Signals

Score: 2.0/15.0|Monitor: 5Trigger: 7Escalate: 9
Triggered (1)
GCC_intel_civil_unrest
2.0+2
Checks Passing (1)
-0.0OK
Inactive (5)
-0.2+0
GCC_oil_shock
-1.6+0
GCC_sovereign_stress
0.8+0
-0.0+0
12.1+0
Signal Contribution
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この地域のスコアの算出方法

以下の各シグナルは、条件が満たされている間、この地域の危機スコアにポイントを加算します。合計は上に示したしきい値に従って危機ステージに対応付けられます。ルールの全文は方法論ページをご覧ください。

シグナルと金融商品の定義は、ルールファイルの記載どおり英語で表示しています。

シグナル

GCC Banks Drawdown+3 pt
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) banks component -8% in 5 days — GCC banking stress重要な理由: GCC banks are heavily exposed to oil revenue and sovereign wealth; drawdowns signal fiscal stress
GCC Credit Stress+2 pt
EM bond proxy (EMB) underperforming — GCC credit deterioration重要な理由: Credit stress in GCC signals oil-related fiscal concerns and sovereign risk
GCC Credit Drawdown+2 pt
GCC credit proxy -5% in 5 days — broad credit deterioration重要な理由: Sustained credit drawdown indicates deepening financial stress in GCC
GCC Market Drawdown+2 pt
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) -5% in 5 days — broad GCC equity weakness重要な理由: Broad GCC equity weakness confirms stress is affecting the wider regional market
GCC FX Stress+2 pt
USD peg pressure detected — potential devaluation risk重要な理由: GCC currencies are pegged to USD; stress here signals extreme fiscal pressure
GCC Volatility Elevated+1 pt
GCC market volatility above 35 — elevated uncertainty重要な理由: Elevated volatility indicates market uncertainty, often oil-driven
GCC Market Stable+0 pt
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-off重要な理由: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to oil sector
GCC Real Estate Drawdown+2 pt
Gulf real estate -10% in 5 days — property sector stress重要な理由: GCC real estate is heavily tied to oil revenue and sovereign spending
GCC Market Stable+0 pt
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-off重要な理由: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to oil sector

追跡している金融商品

MKT — iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA)
Saudi Arabia is the GCC's largest economy. Equity performance is tightly correlated with oil prices and Vision 2030 progress.平穏 5d > -1% · 注意 5d -1% to -5% · ストレス 5d < -8%
BANK — Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SR)
GCC banks are heavily exposed to oil revenue and sovereign wealth. Drawdowns signal fiscal stress and potential peg pressure.平穏 5d > -3% · 注意 5d -3% to -8% · ストレス 5d < -8%
SVRN — GCC Sovereign Bond Proxy (EMB component)
GCC sovereign credit. Oil-dependent fiscal budgets mean sovereign risk rises sharply when oil drops.平穏 5d > -1% · 注意 5d -1% to -3% · ストレス 5d < -3%
OIL — Crude Oil (WTI/Brent)
Oil is the lifeblood of GCC economies. A crash directly impacts fiscal budgets, sovereign wealth, and currency pegs.平穏 5d > -3% · 注意 5d -3% to -12% · ストレス 5d < -12%
FX — GCC Currency Peg Proxy
GCC currencies are pegged to USD. Any stress here signals extreme fiscal pressure and potential devaluation risk.平穏 Peg stable · 注意 Forward rates widening · ストレス Peg under pressure
危機監視システム — GCC / Middle East 詳細
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