· UTC

Global Crisis Brief — September 25, 2026

On September 25, 2026, Bolivia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.

Signal triggers: 126 · Clears: 123 · State changes: 30 · Regions tracked: 39

AI commentary

No AI commentary was recorded for this day.

How each region closed

RegionOpenDay highCloseState at close
Bolivia191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Russia191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Ukraine191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Poland161916/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Egypt161616/31Phase 2 (Critical)
News Analysis121919/44Phase 2 (Critical)
Commodities212121/80Phase 2 (Critical)
Iran266/18Phase 1 (Elevated)
Central Banks121212/57Phase 1 (Elevated)
South Korea566/15Monitor
Peru333/31Monitor
Chile333/31Monitor
Venezuela333/31Monitor
Colombia333/31Monitor
Ecuador333/31Monitor
Nigeria333/31Monitor
South Africa333/31Monitor
Indonesia333/31Monitor
Vietnam333/31Monitor
Thailand333/31Monitor
Philippines333/31Monitor
Argentina553/12Normal
United Kingdom333/18Normal
GCC/Middle East022/13Normal
Brazil222/15Normal
Forex333/26Normal
Turkey331/9Normal
United States253/29Normal
Supply Chain777/89Normal
China020/13Normal
Australia220/10Normal
Mexico220/9Normal
Taiwan220/12Normal
Europe000/19Normal
Asia000/16Normal
India000/10Normal
Emerging Markets000/18Normal
Japan000/17Normal
Economic Indicators000/27Normal

Crisis-state changes

  • 01:06Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 06:16Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 07:52Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 08:08Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 08:40Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 09:28Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 13:31Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 13:31Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 13:32Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 13:47Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 13:48Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 13:49Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 14:11Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 14:12Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 14:35Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 15:24Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:02Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:34Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:35Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 17:31Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 17:38Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 17:40Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 18:27Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 18:30Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 19:07Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 19:38Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 19:41Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 19:45Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 19:47Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 19:51Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)

Signals that triggered

SignalRegionPointsFirst triggered (UTC)
Critical News PanicEgypt622:14
News Panic SurgeNews Analysis404:01
Crisis News Frequency SpikeUkraine300:14
Regional Crisis ConcentrationNews Analysis304:06
Crisis News Frequency SpikePoland305:09
Fx stressIran201:06
Peso FX StressMexico201:46
High Oil VolatilityCommodities213:32
Argentine Banks DrawdownArgentina215:04
Oil shockGCC/Middle East216:02
Oil shockIran216:02
Argentine Real Estate DrawdownArgentina218:06
Turkey Banks DrawdownTurkey221:21
Turkey Market StableTurkey013:34

Scores, states and signals come from CrisisBoard's transparent rule-based model — see the methodology. Informational only, not financial advice.

EMERGENCY