· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — September 21, 2026
On September 21, 2026, Poland ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 22 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 56 · Clears: 52 · State changes: 49 · Regions tracked: 39
AI commentary
No AI commentary was recorded for this day.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 19 | 22 | 22/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Bolivia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Russia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Ukraine | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Egypt | 10 | 10 | 10/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| News Analysis | 12 | 19 | 12/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Commodities | 21 | 21 | 21/80 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Central Banks | 12 | 12 | 12/57 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Turkey | 6 | 6 | 5/12 | Monitor |
| South Korea | 6 | 6 | 6/15 | Monitor |
| United Kingdom | 5 | 5 | 5/18 | Monitor |
| Iran | 6 | 6 | 4/18 | Monitor |
| Peru | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Chile | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Colombia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Ecuador | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| South Africa | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Indonesia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Vietnam | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Thailand | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Philippines | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| GCC/Middle East | 2 | 4 | 4/15 | Normal |
| Australia | 4 | 4 | 4/15 | Normal |
| United States | 5 | 7 | 6/34 | Normal |
| Forex | 3 | 3 | 3/26 | Normal |
| Asia | 2 | 4 | 2/18 | Normal |
| Europe | 2 | 4 | 2/19 | Normal |
| Argentina | 2 | 4 | 1/12 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| China | 0 | 2 | 0/13 | Normal |
| Brazil | 2 | 2 | 0/12 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 0 | 2 | 0/18 | Normal |
| India | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 0/17 | Normal |
| Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0/9 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 0 | 0 | 0/12 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 0 | 0 | 0/27 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 00:22Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 01:42Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 01:58Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 02:14Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 05:26Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 05:42Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 07:10Turkey: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
- 07:15United Kingdom: Monitor → Normal
- 10:46Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 11:02Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 11:18Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 12:03Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 12:55Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 13:32Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 13:34South Korea: Monitor → Normal
- 13:36South Korea: Normal → Monitor
- 13:37Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 13:38Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:38South Korea: Monitor → Normal
- 13:39Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 13:39South Korea: Normal → Monitor
- 13:40Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:48Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 13:50Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:59Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 14:01Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 14:02Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 14:04Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 14:05Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 14:15Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 14:15Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 14:16Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 14:31Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 14:47Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 15:19Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 15:35Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 16:23Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 16:32Commodities: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 16:33Commodities: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 16:55Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 18:15Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 18:31Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 18:47Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 19:18Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 20:06Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 20:22Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 21:12Turkey: Monitor → Normal
- 21:28Turkey: Normal → Monitor
- 23:00United Kingdom: Normal → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 00:26 |
| Wheat Price Crisis | Commodities | 4 | 16:33 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 00:42 |
| DXY Spike | Forex | 3 | 01:05 |
| Negative News Wave | Poland | 3 | 10:10 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Ukraine | 3 | 13:49 |
| GCC Banks Drawdown | GCC/Middle East | 2 | 07:42 |
| Oil shock | Iran | 2 | 12:03 |
| Oil shock | GCC/Middle East | 2 | 12:03 |
| EU Credit Deterioration | Europe | 2 | 13:36 |
| High Oil Volatility | Commodities | 2 | 14:02 |
| Argentine FX Stress | Argentina | 2 | 15:37 |
| UK Banks Drawdown | United Kingdom | 2 | 23:00 |
| Argentina Volatility Elevated | Argentina | 1 | 13:53 |
| Argentina Market Stable | Argentina | 0 | 13:32 |
| South Korea Market Stable | South Korea | 0 | 13:32 |
| No broad selloff | Iran | 0 | 13:37 |