· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — September 16, 2026
On September 16, 2026, Russia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 82 · Clears: 76 · State changes: 50 · Regions tracked: 39
AI commentary
No AI commentary was recorded for this day.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Poland | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Ukraine | 19 | 19 | 19/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Bolivia | 19 | 19 | 16/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Egypt | 3 | 16 | 16/31 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| News Analysis | 19 | 19 | 15/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Commodities | 27 | 27 | 27/80 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Turkey | 2 | 6 | 6/9 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Iran | 2 | 6 | 6/18 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| United States | 2 | 12 | 10/34 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| Central Banks | 12 | 12 | 12/57 | Phase 1 (Elevated) |
| South Korea | 7 | 7 | 5/13 | Monitor |
| United Kingdom | 4 | 5 | 5/18 | Monitor |
| Vietnam | 3 | 7 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Peru | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Chile | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Venezuela | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Colombia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Ecuador | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| South Africa | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Indonesia | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Thailand | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| Philippines | 3 | 3 | 3/31 | Monitor |
| GCC/Middle East | 2 | 4 | 4/15 | Normal |
| Australia | 2 | 4 | 4/15 | Normal |
| Asia | 4 | 4 | 4/18 | Normal |
| China | 0 | 2 | 2/16 | Normal |
| Forex | 0 | 3 | 3/26 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 0 | 2 | 2/20 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| Europe | 0 | 4 | 0/19 | Normal |
| Argentina | 0 | 3 | 0/12 | Normal |
| Mexico | 0 | 2 | 0/9 | Normal |
| Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0/12 | Normal |
| India | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 0/17 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 0 | 0 | 0/12 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 0 | 0 | 0/27 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 01:48South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 01:50South Korea: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 01:54South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 01:56South Korea: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 02:27Vietnam: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 02:51South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 04:10Vietnam: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 06:15Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 06:47Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 08:23Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 09:11Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 10:07Egypt: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 10:08Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 10:31Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 13:32Turkey: Normal → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 13:46Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 13:47Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 14:00Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 14:25Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 14:32Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 14:51Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 14:56Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 15:01South Korea: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 16:55Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 17:00Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 17:01Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 17:07Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 17:11Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 17:12Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 17:28Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 17:49News Analysis: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 17:52News Analysis: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 18:00Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 18:00News Analysis: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 18:03News Analysis: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 18:10Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 18:37Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 18:57South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 19:01Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 19:03United States: Normal → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 19:05Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 19:08Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 19:09Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 19:12Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 19:17Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 19:19United States: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 19:27United States: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 19:28United States: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
- 19:46United States: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 23:00United Kingdom: Normal → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Critical News Panic | Egypt | 6 | 17:08 |
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 00:18 |
| News Panic Surge | Vietnam | 4 | 02:27 |
| News Panic Surge | Egypt | 4 | 10:07 |
| EU Money Market Flight to Safety | Europe | 4 | 12:37 |
| Fresh Crisis Outbreak | News Analysis | 4 | 17:52 |
| T-Bill Flight to Safety | United States | 4 | 19:03 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 06:29 |
| Sustained Crisis Coverage | Egypt | 3 | 10:07 |
| Turkey Market Drawdown | Turkey | 3 | 13:32 |
| Oil Price Spike | Commodities | 3 | 13:32 |
| Crisis News Frequency Spike | Bolivia | 3 | 16:03 |
| DXY Spike | Forex | 3 | 18:43 |
| Tech drawdown | South Korea | 2 | 00:58 |
| Turkey Banks Drawdown | Turkey | 2 | 07:10 |
| High Oil Volatility | Commodities | 2 | 13:32 |
| Argentine Banks Drawdown | Argentina | 2 | 13:41 |
| Market drawdown | Iran | 2 | 13:46 |
| Vix term inversion | United States | 2 | 13:47 |
| Oil shock | GCC/Middle East | 2 | 14:56 |