· UTC

Global Crisis Brief — September 4, 2026

On September 4, 2026, Bolivia ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 31 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.

Signal triggers: 108 · Clears: 109 · State changes: 40 · Regions tracked: 39

AI commentary

No AI commentary was recorded for this day.

How each region closed

RegionOpenDay highCloseState at close
Bolivia161919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Russia191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Ukraine191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Commodities292927/80Phase 2 (Critical)
Egypt101010/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Poland71010/31Phase 2 (Critical)
News Analysis191912/44Phase 2 (Critical)
South Korea688/15Phase 1 (Elevated)
Central Banks131313/57Phase 1 (Elevated)
Vietnam10107/31Phase 1 (Elevated)
Peru773/31Monitor
Chile333/31Monitor
Venezuela333/31Monitor
Colombia333/31Monitor
Ecuador333/31Monitor
Nigeria333/31Monitor
South Africa333/31Monitor
Indonesia333/31Monitor
Thailand333/31Monitor
Philippines333/31Monitor
United States587/32Normal
United Kingdom373/18Normal
Australia022/12Normal
GCC/Middle East242/13Normal
Iran242/15Normal
Japan022/17Normal
Argentina341/12Normal
Supply Chain777/89Normal
Forex222/26Normal
Europe020/19Normal
Asia020/16Normal
Turkey220/9Normal
Emerging Markets020/18Normal
China000/13Normal
Brazil000/12Normal
India000/10Normal
Mexico000/9Normal
Taiwan000/12Normal
Economic Indicators000/27Normal

Crisis-state changes

  • 00:05Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 00:21Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 00:53Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 02:45Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 03:33Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 03:49Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 04:53Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 05:25Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 05:57Poland: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 08:04Poland: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 08:05Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 08:21Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 08:37Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 08:53Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 09:54Poland: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 10:02Egypt: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 12:05Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 12:21Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 12:37Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 12:53Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 13:31South Korea: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 18:45United Kingdom: Normal → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 19:01Vietnam: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 19:01United Kingdom: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
  • 19:05Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 19:17United Kingdom: Normal → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 20:05Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 20:38Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 20:54Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 21:26United States: Normal → Monitor
  • 21:40News Analysis: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 21:42United States: Monitor → Normal
  • 21:42News Analysis: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 21:49Peru: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 21:58United Kingdom: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
  • 22:14United States: Normal → Monitor
  • 22:30United States: Monitor → Normal
  • 23:40Egypt: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 23:41Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 23:50Iran: Monitor → Normal

Signals that triggered

SignalRegionPointsFirst triggered (UTC)
News Panic SurgeNews Analysis401:25
Fresh Crisis OutbreakNews Analysis421:42
News Panic SurgeEgypt423:40
Regional Crisis ConcentrationNews Analysis300:40
Crisis News Frequency SpikeUkraine301:09
Crisis News Frequency SpikeBolivia302:10
Sustained Crisis CoveragePoland305:57
Energy Security StressedCommodities313:10
Oil Price SpikeCommodities313:21
Sustained Crisis CoverageEgypt323:40
Bonds stressJapan200:20
Yen Safe-Haven FlowForex206:34
South Korea Banks DrawdownSouth Korea213:31

Scores, states and signals come from CrisisBoard's transparent rule-based model — see the methodology. Informational only, not financial advice.

EMERGENCY