· UTC

Global Crisis Brief — July 13, 2026

On July 13, 2026, South Korea ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 12 of 15 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.

Signal triggers: 63 · Clears: 57 · State changes: 44 · Regions tracked: 39

AI commentary

09:00 UTC update

The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with multiple regions and sectors experiencing increased volatility and crisis themes. The stress level is ELEVATED, with key risks including: * Geopolitical tensions and crisis themes in various regions, such as WAR, BLOCKADE, and SANCTIONS * Elevated volatility in commodities, particularly oil * Negative real interest rates and coordinated easing by central banks * Supply chain disruptions and critical material risks Recommended actions include: * Diversifying portfolios to mitigate risks * Monitoring news sentiment and crisis themes in various regions * Adjusting investment strategies to account for potential market fluctuations * Maintaining a close eye on central bank actions and their impact on the market

21:00 UTC update

The current market status is characterized by elevated stress levels, with several regions and sectors experiencing increased volatility and drawdowns. The stress level is ELEVATED, with multiple triggers activated across various regions, including Asia, Argentina, and Taiwan. Key Risks: * Elevated volatility in multiple regions * Drawdowns in banking and technology sectors * Increased geopolitical tensions and crisis themes * Oil price fluctuations and supply chain disruptions Recommended Actions: * Monitor market developments closely and adjust portfolios accordingly * Diversify investments to mitigate risks * Consider hedging strategies to protect against potential losses * Stay informed about geopolitical events and their potential impact on markets

Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.

How each region closed

RegionOpenDay highCloseState at close
South Korea71212/15Phase 2 (Critical)
Russia191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Ukraine191919/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Bolivia191916/31Phase 2 (Critical)
News Analysis161918/44Phase 2 (Critical)
Peru101010/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Venezuela101010/31Phase 2 (Critical)
Argentina11111/17Phase 1 (Elevated)
Vietnam3107/31Phase 1 (Elevated)
South Africa377/31Phase 1 (Elevated)
Egypt777/31Phase 1 (Elevated)
Thailand777/31Phase 1 (Elevated)
Poland377/31Phase 1 (Elevated)
Central Banks121212/57Phase 1 (Elevated)
Taiwan155/14Monitor
Iran255/18Monitor
Ecuador10103/31Monitor
Chile333/31Monitor
Colombia333/31Monitor
Nigeria333/31Monitor
Indonesia333/31Monitor
Philippines333/31Monitor
GCC/Middle East033/13Normal
Turkey232/9Normal
Asia053/16Normal
United Kingdom333/18Normal
Australia022/13Normal
United States553/29Normal
Commodities777/80Normal
Supply Chain777/89Normal
Japan011/17Normal
Emerging Markets011/18Normal
China220/13Normal
Europe000/19Normal
Brazil000/12Normal
India000/10Normal
Mexico000/9Normal
Forex000/26Normal
Economic Indicators000/27Normal

Crisis-state changes

  • 02:53Thailand: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 02:57Thailand: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 04:44Vietnam: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 05:28Thailand: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 06:05Thailand: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 06:42South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 06:55Egypt: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 06:59Egypt: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 07:05South Africa: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 08:09Ecuador: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 09:06South Korea: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 10:42South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 12:02South Korea: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 12:13Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 12:17Vietnam: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 12:18South Korea: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
  • 13:19Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 13:22Poland: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 13:31Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 14:06Poland: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 14:21Poland: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 16:50Argentina: Normal → Monitor
  • 17:21Argentina: Monitor → Normal
  • 18:57Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:13Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 19:21Taiwan: Normal → Monitor
  • 19:32Taiwan: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:34Taiwan: Normal → Monitor
  • 19:35Taiwan: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:36Taiwan: Normal → Monitor
  • 19:43Taiwan: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:46Taiwan: Normal → Monitor
  • 19:51Taiwan: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:52Taiwan: Normal → Monitor
  • 20:00Argentina: Normal → Monitor
  • 20:17Argentina: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 20:49Argentina: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 21:05Argentina: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 21:37Argentina: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 21:44Ecuador: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 22:01Vietnam: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 22:09Argentina: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 22:56Argentina: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 23:28Argentina: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)

Signals that triggered

SignalRegionPointsFirst triggered (UTC)
News Panic SurgeThailand402:57
News Panic SurgeVietnam404:44
News Panic SurgeEgypt406:59
News Panic SurgeSouth Africa407:05
News Panic SurgePoland413:22
Crisis News Frequency SpikeUkraine301:06
Regional Crisis ConcentrationNews Analysis303:14
Crisis News Frequency SpikeBolivia310:24
Sustained Crisis CoverageVietnam312:17
KOSPI DrawdownSouth Korea313:31
Futures divergenceAsia313:40
Oil shockGCC/Middle East212:13
Oil shockIran212:13
Argentine FX StressArgentina214:54
Argentine Banks DrawdownArgentina215:11
Argentine Real Estate DrawdownArgentina216:05
Taiwan Market DrawdownTaiwan219:21
EM Volatility ElevatedEmerging Markets113:31
Japan Volatility ElevatedJapan114:17
Mexico Market StableMexico018:14

Scores, states and signals come from CrisisBoard's transparent rule-based model — see the methodology. Informational only, not financial advice.

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