· UTC

Global Crisis Brief — March 25, 2026

On March 25, 2026, News Analysis ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 19 of 44 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.

Signal triggers: 182 · Clears: 68 · State changes: 41 · Regions tracked: 23

AI commentary

09:04 UTC update

Market Status: NORMAL Stress Level: ELEVATED Key Risks: • Elevated volatility across multiple regions (US, ASIA, AR, BR, AU, KR, TW) • Multiple crisis themes detected globally (WAR, ESCALATION) across 12 regions • News sentiment remains negative across most regions with fresh crisis events • Central banks showing coordinated easing response to negative real rates • Supply chain risks with critical material shortages and rare earth crisis Recommended Actions: • Monitor volatility spikes in US, ASIA, and emerging markets • Watch for escalation in regional crisis themes (WAR, ESCALATION) • Track central bank policy responses and coordinated easing measures • Assess supply chain vulnerabilities in critical materials • Prepare for potential contagion from regional crisis events

Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.

How each region closed

RegionOpenDay highCloseState at close
News Analysis162219/44Phase 2 (Critical)
Turkey044/11Monitor
Brazil155/14Monitor
Central Banks999/55Monitor
Commodities91210/80Monitor
Argentina365/13Normal
United States377/23Normal
South Korea333/10Normal
Asia575/18Normal
GCC/Middle East074/15Normal
Economic Indicators555/27Normal
India242/11Normal
Iran252/14Normal
Australia111/8Normal
Mexico011/8Normal
Emerging Markets242/19Normal
Taiwan111/10Normal
Europe022/21Normal
Supply Chain777/89Normal
Japan131/14Normal
China000/10Normal
United Kingdom000/12Normal
Forex000/26Normal

Crisis-state changes

  • 02:02Turkey: Normal → Monitor
  • 02:43Turkey: Monitor → Normal
  • 13:31GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
  • 13:31Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 14:03GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
  • 14:23GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
  • 15:02GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 15:02Turkey: Normal → Monitor
  • 15:17GCC/Middle East: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 15:24GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
  • 15:27Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 15:30Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 15:48GCC/Middle East: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Monitor
  • 16:04GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:04Turkey: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:04Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:05Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:06Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:26GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:28GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:33GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:35GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:35Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:36GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:37GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
  • 16:42GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
  • 16:48Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 17:45Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 17:47Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 17:52Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 17:55Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 18:33Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 18:34Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 18:35Commodities: Monitor → Normal
  • 18:36Commodities: Normal → Monitor
  • 18:43Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:03GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
  • 19:03Iran: Normal → Monitor
  • 22:43Brazil: Normal → Monitor
  • 22:43Iran: Monitor → Normal
  • 22:43Turkey: Normal → Monitor

Signals that triggered

SignalRegionPointsFirst triggered (UTC)
Critical News PanicNews Analysis607:04
Multi-Region CrisisNews Analysis501:17
Coordinated Central Bank EasingCentral Banks501:17
Fresh Crisis OutbreakNews Analysis400:12
News Panic SurgeNews Analysis401:17
Rare Earth CrisisSupply Chain401:17
T-Bill Flight to SafetyUnited States418:13
Intel military conflictBrazil422:43
Crisis News Frequency SpikeNews Analysis301:17
SPR Days Supply LowCommodities301:17
Critical Material RiskSupply Chain301:17
Inflation CrisisEconomic Indicators301:17
Regional Crisis ConcentrationNews Analysis305:59
Oil shockGCC/Middle East313:31
Oil shockIran313:31
Energy Security StressedCommodities315:27
Vol spikeUnited States201:17
Vol spikeAsia201:17
Intel crisis themesAsia201:17
Intel crisis themesArgentina201:17

Scores, states and signals come from CrisisBoard's transparent rule-based model — see the methodology. Informational only, not financial advice.

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