· UTC
Global Crisis Brief — March 13, 2026
On March 13, 2026, News Analysis ended the day as the most stressed region, closing at 16 of 44 points in the Phase 2 (Critical) state.
Signal triggers: 197 · Clears: 201 · State changes: 39 · Regions tracked: 23
AI commentary
09:00 UTC update
Market Status: Global markets remain in NORMAL state with elevated stress indicators across multiple regions. The system shows 19/44 news points in PHASE_2, indicating heightened crisis awareness.
Stress Level: ELEVATED
Key Risks:
• Banking sector stress in AR, KR, TR, MX, BR, IN with repeated drawdown signals
• War-related crisis themes dominate across 10+ regions (AR, ASIA, BR, CN, EM, EU, GCC, IN, IR, KR, TW, US)
• Energy security concerns with SPR depletion and low supply days
• Central bank coordinated easing suggesting systemic response to crisis
• Commodity market stress with gold panic bidding and energy security issues
Recommended Actions:
• Monitor banking sector vulnerabilities in emerging markets
• Prepare for potential contagion from regional banking stress
• Hedge against energy price volatility given SPR depletion
• Review exposure to war-affected regions and commodities
• Maintain liquidity buffers given coordinated central bank easing
Written by CrisisBoard's scheduled AI analysis on the day, from the same data, and kept as published. It may contain errors.
How each region closed
| Region | Open | Day high | Close | State at close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| News Analysis | 24 | 25 | 16/44 | Phase 2 (Critical) |
| Brazil | 2 | 6 | 6/14 | Monitor |
| Iran | 9 | 9 | 4/17 | Monitor |
| Central Banks | 9 | 9 | 9/55 | Monitor |
| Commodities | 12 | 12 | 10/80 | Monitor |
| Argentina | 8 | 9 | 7/13 | Normal |
| India | 4 | 4 | 4/11 | Normal |
| South Korea | 5 | 5 | 3/10 | Normal |
| Asia | 5 | 7 | 5/18 | Normal |
| GCC/Middle East | 5 | 5 | 4/15 | Normal |
| Economic Indicators | 5 | 5 | 5/27 | Normal |
| United States | 3 | 3 | 3/23 | Normal |
| Forex | 0 | 3 | 3/26 | Normal |
| Emerging Markets | 2 | 3 | 2/19 | Normal |
| Europe | 4 | 4 | 2/21 | Normal |
| Supply Chain | 7 | 7 | 7/89 | Normal |
| Japan | 4 | 6 | 0/14 | Normal |
| Australia | 0 | 4 | 0/8 | Normal |
| United Kingdom | 3 | 3 | 0/12 | Normal |
| Turkey | 0 | 3 | 0/8 | Normal |
| Mexico | 2 | 2 | 0/8 | Normal |
| China | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
| Taiwan | 0 | 0 | 0/10 | Normal |
Crisis-state changes
- 00:24Japan: Normal → Monitor
- 00:25Japan: Monitor → Normal
- 00:42GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
- 00:42Iran: Phase 2 (Critical) → Monitor
- 01:20GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
- 01:20Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 01:39Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 02:55Iran: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 03:13GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
- 03:13Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
- 06:02Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 06:21GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
- 07:36Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 07:55Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 08:33GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
- 08:33Iran: Monitor → Normal
- 09:11GCC/Middle East: Normal → Monitor
- 09:11Iran: Normal → Monitor
- 10:43GCC/Middle East: Monitor → Normal
- 11:01Iran: Monitor → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 11:05News Analysis: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 11:38Argentina: Monitor → Normal
- 11:38Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
- 12:14Argentina: Normal → Monitor
- 12:32Iran: Normal → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 13:08Argentina: Monitor → Normal
- 13:08Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Normal
- 14:05South Korea: Monitor → Normal
- 15:21Iran: Normal → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 16:56Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 17:15Iran: Phase 2 (Critical) → Phase 1 (Elevated)
- 17:40News Analysis: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 17:53Iran: Phase 1 (Elevated) → Phase 2 (Critical)
- 20:02Iran: Phase 2 (Critical) → Monitor
- 20:31Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 20:40Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 20:41Brazil: Normal → Monitor
- 20:43Brazil: Monitor → Normal
- 20:44Brazil: Normal → Monitor
Signals that triggered
| Signal | Region | Points | First triggered (UTC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coordinated Central Bank Easing | Central Banks | 5 | 03:32 |
| Fresh Crisis Outbreak | News Analysis | 4 | 00:28 |
| Intel military conflict | Brazil | 4 | 16:56 |
| News Panic Surge | News Analysis | 4 | 17:39 |
| Regional Crisis Concentration | News Analysis | 3 | 01:01 |
| DXY Spike | Forex | 3 | 01:32 |
| UK Banks Drawdown | United Kingdom | 3 | 03:53 |
| High Oil Volatility | Commodities | 2 | 00:12 |
| Japan Banks Drawdown | Japan | 2 | 00:24 |
| Mexico Banks Drawdown | Mexico | 2 | 01:12 |
| Euro Banks Drawdown | Europe | 2 | 01:21 |
| Asia Real Estate Drawdown | Asia | 2 | 02:08 |
| Turkey Banks Drawdown | Turkey | 2 | 08:14 |
| India Banks Drawdown | India | 2 | 14:19 |
| Argentine FX Stress | Argentina | 2 | 15:11 |
| Argentine Banks Drawdown | Argentina | 2 | 16:49 |
| Real FX Stress | Brazil | 2 | 20:31 |
| Mexico Market Stable | Mexico | 0 | 13:31 |