获取中...
刚刚
MONITOR
危机评分4.0/18.0
Iran Vol
28.5
信号
3/8
安全机制
正常
失效因素
0/0
操作
提高监控频率审查对冲

Stress signals detected. Emerging markets are more sensitive to contagion — what starts as local stress can quickly attract speculative pressure and capital flight.

Local Currency
▼Weakening

FX pressure can accelerate capital outflows and imported inflation. Watch central bank reserves drawdown.

Historical Context

In EM, MONITOR states tend to be shorter — they either resolve quickly or escalate within 2-3 days as FX pressure compounds.

Typical Duration

1-5 days

What's Happening

2 signalsfiring · 4.0/18.0 pts
2 points away from escalating to PHASE 1. Key driver: IR_fx_stress in Other.
Other4pts
+2
IR_fx_stress+3.5%
+2
IR_intel_crisis_themes2.00

符号

Oil Services (Iran proxy)→
OIH
$387.14
2d
-1.1%
5d
+1.6%
1m
-7.9%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
1.0
Oil↑
USO
$147.65
2d
+1.9%
5d
-1.6%
1m
-6.8%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.8
USD/IRR↑↑
IRR=X
$1778720.00
2d
+3.5%
5d
+6.2%
1m
+29.5%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.0
EM Financials→
EMFN
$0.00
2d
0.0%
5d
0.0%
1m
0.0%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.0
Loading chart…

Signals

Score: 4.0/18.0|Monitor: 4Trigger: 6Escalate: 8
Triggered (2)
3.5+2
IR_intel_crisis_themes
2.0+2
Checks Passing (1)
1.6OK
Inactive (5)
0.0+0
IR_oil_shock
-1.6+0
IR_sovereign_stress
0.8+0
1.6+0
28.5+0
Signal Contribution
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危机监控系统 — Iran 详情
EMERGENCY