3 points away from escalating to MONITOR. Key driver: GCC_intel_civil_unrest in Other.
Other2pts
+2
GCC_intel_civil_unrest2.00
종목
Saudi ETF↓
KSA
$36.09
2d
-2.2%
5d
-0.0%
1m
-5.6%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
2.0
Saudi Banks↓
1120.SR
$62.30
2d
+0.2%
5d
-0.2%
1m
-5.2%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.6
Oil↑
USO
$147.65
2d
+1.9%
5d
-1.6%
1m
-6.8%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.8
Loading chart…
Signals
Score: 2.0/15.0|Monitor: 5Trigger: 7Escalate: 9
Triggered (1)
GCC_intel_civil_unrest
High protest activity: 30 events2.0+2
Checks Passing (1)
pct_change(market,5) >= -3-0.0OK
Inactive (5)
pct_change(banks,1) <= -3 OR pct_change(banks,5) <= -5-0.2+0
GCC_oil_shock
|pct_change(oil,1)| >= 3 OR |pct_change(oil,5)| >= 5-1.6+0
GCC_sovereign_stress
pct_change(sovereign,5) <= -40.8+0
pct_change(market,5) <= -5 (moderate) OR <= -8 (severe)-0.0+0
volatility > 3512.1+0
Signal Contribution▾
Loading chart…
News Feed▾
뉴스 센티먼트
Loading...
Trending searches
Loading…
이 지역의 점수 산정 방식
아래 각 신호는 조건이 충족되는 동안 이 지역의 위기 점수에 점수를 더합니다. 합계는 위에 표시된 임계값에 따라 위기 단계로 매핑됩니다. 전체 규칙은 방법론 페이지에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
신호 및 금융상품 정의는 규칙 파일에 작성된 대로 영어로 표시됩니다.
신호
GCC Banks Drawdown+3점
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) banks component -8% in 5 days — GCC banking stress중요한 이유: GCC banks are heavily exposed to oil revenue and sovereign wealth; drawdowns signal fiscal stress
GCC Credit Stress+2점
EM bond proxy (EMB) underperforming — GCC credit deterioration중요한 이유: Credit stress in GCC signals oil-related fiscal concerns and sovereign risk
GCC Credit Drawdown+2점
GCC credit proxy -5% in 5 days — broad credit deterioration중요한 이유: Sustained credit drawdown indicates deepening financial stress in GCC
GCC Market Drawdown+2점
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) -5% in 5 days — broad GCC equity weakness중요한 이유: Broad GCC equity weakness confirms stress is affecting the wider regional market
GCC FX Stress+2점
USD peg pressure detected — potential devaluation risk중요한 이유: GCC currencies are pegged to USD; stress here signals extreme fiscal pressure
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-off중요한 이유: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to oil sector
GCC Real Estate Drawdown+2점
Gulf real estate -10% in 5 days — property sector stress중요한 이유: GCC real estate is heavily tied to oil revenue and sovereign spending
GCC Market Stable+0점
Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-off중요한 이유: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to oil sector
추적 중인 금융상품
MKT — iShares MSCI Saudi Arabia ETF (KSA)
Saudi Arabia is the GCC's largest economy. Equity performance is tightly correlated with oil prices and Vision 2030 progress.안정 5d > -1% · 주의 5d -1% to -5% · 스트레스 5d < -8%
BANK — Al Rajhi Bank (1120.SR)
GCC banks are heavily exposed to oil revenue and sovereign wealth. Drawdowns signal fiscal stress and potential peg pressure.안정 5d > -3% · 주의 5d -3% to -8% · 스트레스 5d < -8%
SVRN — GCC Sovereign Bond Proxy (EMB component)
GCC sovereign credit. Oil-dependent fiscal budgets mean sovereign risk rises sharply when oil drops.안정 5d > -1% · 주의 5d -1% to -3% · 스트레스 5d < -3%
OIL — Crude Oil (WTI/Brent)
Oil is the lifeblood of GCC economies. A crash directly impacts fiscal budgets, sovereign wealth, and currency pegs.안정 5d > -3% · 주의 5d -3% to -12% · 스트레스 5d < -12%
FX — GCC Currency Peg Proxy
GCC currencies are pegged to USD. Any stress here signals extreme fiscal pressure and potential devaluation risk.안정 Peg stable · 주의 Forward rates widening · 스트레스 Peg under pressure