South Korea

--:--:--

Obteniendo...

Última actualización ahora mismoahora mismo

PHASE 1

Puntuación de Crisis8.0/15.0

KOSPI Vol

46.4

Señales

4/7

Seguridad

Invalidadores

0/0

Acciones

Reducir exposición al riesgoActivar protocolos de cobertura

This is not a false alarm. Multiple independent signals are confirming stress. The pattern of signals matters: banking + credit stress together has historically been the most dangerous combination.

Equities

▼Broad weakness

Multiple sectors under pressure. Drawdowns of -5% to -10% are common at this level before stabilization or further escalation.

Treasuries/Bunds

▲Rally (flight to quality)

Government bonds typically rally 1-3% as capital seeks safety. Yield curves flatten or invert further.

Volatility

▲Spiking

VIX typically reaches 25-35 range. Put/call ratios spike. Correlation across assets increases, reducing diversification benefit.

Historical Context

Developed market PHASE 1: think Aug 2015, Dec 2018, Mar 2023 (SVB). Most lasted 2-4 weeks. Resolution came via central bank action or systemic risk containment.

Typical Duration

2-4 weeks

What's Happening

4 signalsfiring · 8.0/15.0 pts

1 point away from escalating to PHASE 2. Key driver: KR_intel_crisis_themes in Other.

Other5pts

KR_intel_crisis_themes3.00

KR_vol_spike46.39

Equity & Volatility3pts

KOSPI Drawdown-5.2%EWY

South Korea ETF (EWY) -5% in 5 days — broad Korean equity weakness

Broad equity weakness confirms stress is affecting the wider Korean market

South Korea Volatility Elevated46.39EWY

Korean market volatility above 35 — elevated uncertainty

Elevated volatility indicates market uncertainty, often tech/semiconductor driven

Símbolos

South Korea ETF↓↓

EWY

$176.41

-5.4%

-5.2%

-3.5%

0.0%

RVol

1.6

KB Financial↓

$122.14

-1.9%

+0.3%

-3.3%

0.0%

RVol

1.1

Samsung↓↓

005930.KS

$262000.00

-3.7%

-2.4%

0.0%

RVol

1.3

Loading chart…

Signals

Score: 8.0/15.0|Monitor: 5Trigger: 7Escalate: 9

Triggered (4)

pct_change(market,5) <= -5 (moderate) OR <= -8 (severe)-5.2+2

volatility > 3546.4+1

volatility > 4546.4+2

KR_intel_crisis_themes

14 crisis themes detected: WAR, ATTACK, SANCTIONS3.0+3

Inactive (3)

pct_change(banks,1) <= -3 OR pct_change(banks,5) <= -50.3+0

pct_change(tech,5) <= -7 (moderate) OR <= -10 (severe)-2.4+0

pct_change(market,5) >= -3-5.2+0

Signal Contribution

Loading chart…

News Feed

Sentimiento de Noticias

Cómo se calcula la puntuación de esta región

Cada señal de abajo suma puntos a la puntuación de crisis de esta región mientras se cumple su condición. El total se traduce en un estado de crisis según los umbrales indicados arriba. El reglamento completo está en la página de metodología.

Las definiciones de señales e instrumentos se muestran en inglés, tal como figuran en los archivos de reglas.

Señales

South Korea Banks Drawdown+3 pts: Korean banks (KB, SHG) -8% in 5 days — banking sector stressPor qué importa: Korean banks are exposed to household debt and chaebol risk; drawdowns signal systemic concerns
South Korea Credit Stress+2 pts: South Korea ETF (EWY) credit component underperforming — credit deteriorationPor qué importa: Credit stress in Korea signals tightening conditions and potential tech sector contagion
South Korea Credit Drawdown+2 pts: South Korea credit proxy -5% in 5 days — broad credit deteriorationPor qué importa: Sustained credit drawdown indicates deepening financial stress in Korea
KOSPI Drawdown+2 pts: South Korea ETF (EWY) -5% in 5 days — broad Korean equity weaknessPor qué importa: Broad equity weakness confirms stress is affecting the wider Korean market
Won FX Stress+2 pts: KRW/USD move >3% in 3 days — won depreciation pressurePor qué importa: Rapid won weakening signals capital outflows and potential BoK intervention
South Korea Volatility Elevated+1 pts: Korean market volatility above 35 — elevated uncertaintyPor qué importa: Elevated volatility indicates market uncertainty, often tech/semiconductor driven
South Korea Market Stable+0 pts: South Korea ETF (EWY) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-offPor qué importa: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to specific sectors
South Korea Real Estate Drawdown+2 pts: South Korea REITs proxy -10% in 5 days — property sector stressPor qué importa: Korean real estate stress signals household debt concerns and potential banking contagion
South Korea Market Stable+0 pts: South Korea ETF (EWY) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-offPor qué importa: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to specific sectors

Instrumentos monitoreados

MKT — iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) / KOSPI: Broadest Korea equity proxy. Heavily weighted to semiconductors (Samsung, SK Hynix). A bellwether for global tech demand.Calma 5d > -1% · Vigilancia 5d -1% to -3% · Estrés 5d < -5%
BANK — Korean Banks (KB Financial, Shinhan): Korean banks are exposed to household debt (among highest in OECD) and chaebol risk. Drawdowns signal domestic financial stress.Calma 5d > -3% · Vigilancia 5d -3% to -8% · Estrés 5d < -8%
CRD — South Korea Credit Proxy (via EWY): Korean credit conditions. Tightening here can cascade through the highly leveraged household sector.Calma 5d > -1% · Vigilancia 5d -1% to -3% · Estrés 5d < -5%
TECH — Samsung Electronics (005930.KS): Samsung is ~20% of KOSPI. As the world's largest memory chip maker, it's a proxy for global semiconductor demand and tech capex cycles.Calma 5d > -2% · Vigilancia 5d -2% to -10% · Estrés 5d < -10%
FX — Korean Won (KRW/USD): Won weakness signals capital outflows and risk-off sentiment. Korea's export-dependent economy makes FX moves highly impactful.Calma 3d < +1% · Vigilancia 3d +1% to +3% · Estrés 3d > +3% depreciation

South Korea

So What?

What's Happening

Símbolos

Signals

Sentimiento de Noticias

Trending searches

Cómo se calcula la puntuación de esta región

Señales

Instrumentos monitoreados