Australia

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Puntuación de Crisis4.0/15.0

ASX Vol

17.2

Señales

3/7

Seguridad

Invalidadores

0/0

Acciones

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What's Happening

2 signalsfiring · 4.0/15.0 pts

1 point away from escalating to MONITOR. Key driver: AU_intel_crisis_themes in Other.

Other4pts

AU_intel_crisis_themes2.00

AU_intel_civil_unrest2.00

Símbolos

Australia ETF→

EWA

$28.27

-0.9%

+1.0%

-2.8%

0.0%

RVol

0.7

CBA Bank↓↓

CBA.AX

$149.30

-0.7%

-1.4%

-3.2%

0.0%

RVol

0.1

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Signals

Score: 4.0/15.0|Monitor: 5Trigger: 7Escalate: 9

Triggered (2)

AU_intel_crisis_themes

10 crisis themes detected: WAR, ATTACK, PROTEST2.0+2

AU_intel_civil_unrest

High protest activity: 30 events2.0+2

Checks Passing (1)

pct_change(market,5) >= -31.0OK

Inactive (4)

pct_change(banks,1) <= -3 OR pct_change(banks,5) <= -5-1.4+0

pct_change(real_estate,5) <= -5 (moderate) OR <= -10 (severe)2.2+0

pct_change(market,5) <= -5 (moderate) OR <= -8 (severe)1.0+0

volatility > 2517.2+0

Signal Contribution

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Sentimiento de Noticias

Cómo se calcula la puntuación de esta región

Cada señal de abajo suma puntos a la puntuación de crisis de esta región mientras se cumple su condición. El total se traduce en un estado de crisis según los umbrales indicados arriba. El reglamento completo está en la página de metodología.

Las definiciones de señales e instrumentos se muestran en inglés, tal como figuran en los archivos de reglas.

Señales

Australia Banks Drawdown+3 pts: Australian banks (CBA) -8% in 5 days — banking sector stressPor qué importa: Australian banks are heavily exposed to property market; drawdowns signal housing/credit risk
Australia Property Drawdown+2 pts: Australian Property ETF (VAP.AX) -5% in 5 days — property sector stressPor qué importa: Australian property is a key systemic risk given high household debt levels
Australia Credit Stress+2 pts: Australian bonds (IAF) underperforming — credit deteriorationPor qué importa: Credit stress in Australia signals tightening conditions and potential mortgage stress
Australia Credit Drawdown+2 pts: Australia credit proxy -5% in 5 days — broad credit deteriorationPor qué importa: Sustained credit drawdown indicates deepening financial stress in Australia
ASX 200 Drawdown+2 pts: ASX 200 -5% in 5 days — broad Australian equity weaknessPor qué importa: Broad equity weakness confirms stress is affecting the wider Australian market
AUD FX Stress+2 pts: AUD/USD move >3% in 3 days — Aussie dollar depreciation pressurePor qué importa: Rapid AUD weakening signals commodity downturn and potential capital outflows
Australia Volatility Elevated+1 pts: Australian market volatility above 25 — elevated uncertaintyPor qué importa: Elevated volatility indicates market uncertainty and potential for sharp moves
Australia Market Stable+0 pts: ASX 200 holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-offPor qué importa: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to specific sectors
Australia Market Stable+0 pts: ASX 200 holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-offPor qué importa: Market stability indicator — if met, stress may be contained to specific sectors

Instrumentos monitoreados

MKT — iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA) / ASX 200: Broadest Australian equity proxy. Heavily weighted to banks and mining. Sensitive to China demand.Calma 5d > -1% · Vigilancia 5d -1% to -3% · Estrés 5d < -5%
BANK — Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA.AX): Australia's big-4 banks are massively exposed to the property market. Drawdowns signal housing/mortgage stress.Calma 5d > -3% · Vigilancia 5d -3% to -8% · Estrés 5d < -8%
CRD — iShares Composite Bond ETF (IAF.AX): Australian bond market proxy. Weakness signals tightening conditions and potential mortgage stress.Calma 5d > -0.5% · Vigilancia 5d -0.5% to -2% · Estrés 5d < -2%
RE — Vanguard Australian Property Securities ETF (VAP.AX): Australian property is a key systemic risk given extremely high household debt levels and property valuations.Calma 5d > -3% · Vigilancia 5d -3% to -10% · Estrés 5d < -10%
FX — Australian Dollar (AUD/USD): AUD is a commodity currency. Weakness signals China slowdown, commodity downturn, or risk-off sentiment globally.Calma 3d < +1% · Vigilancia 3d +1% to +3% · Estrés 3d > +3% depreciation

Australia

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Cómo se calcula la puntuación de esta región

Señales

Instrumentos monitoreados