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NORMAL
Crisis Score2.0/17.0
VNKY
17.4
Signals
2/8
Failsafe
OK
Invalidators
0/0
Actions
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What's Happening

1 signalfiring · 2.0/17.0 pts
3 points away from escalating to MONITOR. Key driver: Japan Banks Drawdown in Banking Sector.
Banking Sector2pts
+2
Japan Banks Drawdown-2.3%8306.T

Japanese banks (MUFG, SMFG) -8% in 5 days — banking stress

Japanese bank stress signals JGB or property market concerns

Symbols

Japan ETF↓↓
EWJ
$97.31
2d
-2.0%
5d
-0.0%
1m
+0.9%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
1.8
MUFG Bank↓↓
8306.T
$3504.00
2d
-4.5%
5d
-2.3%
1m
0.0%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.9
JGB Bonds↓
2511.T
$1118.00
2d
-0.4%
5d
-0.7%
1m
0.0%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.0
JP Credit↑
LQD
$102.46
2d
+0.3%
5d
+0.4%
1m
-1.8%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
1.8
USD/JPY→
JPY=X
$158.06
2d
-0.1%
5d
+0.1%
1m
+2.3%
3m
0.0%
1y
0.0%
RVol
0.0
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Signals

Score: 2.0/17.0|Monitor: 5Trigger: 7Escalate: 9
Triggered (1)
-2.3+2
Checks Passing (1)
-0.0OK
Inactive (6)
-3.0+0
JP_bonds_stress
-0.7+0
0.4+0
-0.0+0
0.1+0
17.4+0
Signal Contribution
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How the Japan score works

Each signal below adds points to the Japan score while its condition holds. The total maps to a crisis state through the thresholds shown above. The complete rulebook is on the methodology page.

Signals

Japan Banks Drawdown+3 pts
Japanese banks (MUFG, SMFG) -8% in 5 days — banking stressWhy it matters: Japanese bank stress signals JGB or property market concerns
Nikkei Drawdown+2 pts
Japan ETF (EWJ) -5% in 5 days — broad Japanese equity weaknessWhy it matters: Broad equity weakness confirms stress affecting wider Japanese market
Japan Volatility Elevated+1 pts
Japanese market volatility above 25 — elevated uncertaintyWhy it matters: Elevated volatility indicates Japanese market uncertainty
Japan Market Stable+0 pts
Japan ETF (EWJ) holding above -3% over 5 days — no broad sell-offWhy it matters: Market stability indicator — stress may be contained to specific sectors
Crisis Monitoring System — Japan Detail
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